Lucchese Libertas vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1948 |
SAM
4 - 1
ASL
72%
15%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
ACM
1 - 2
ASL
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASL
43%
25%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 1
USA
45%
24%
32%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1948 |
TRI
4 - 1
ASL
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1948 |
VIC
1 - 0
ATL
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
ATL
5 - 0
LAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
SAL
0 - 0
ATL
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
ATL
1 - 0
ACM
36%
26%
39%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1948 |
USA
0 - 1
ATL
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |