Lucchese Libertas vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
ASL
1 - 0
LIV
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASL
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 2
SPA
49%
28%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 0
LEC
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 0
ARZ
50%
24%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
CAR
0 - 1
SPE
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
REG
1 - 1
SPE
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
SPE
0 - 0
CES
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
USA
0 - 2
SPE
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |