Lucchese Libertas vs AS Gubbio 1910 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TAR
2 - 1
ASL
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ASL
0 - 2
ATL
32%
28%
41%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
GEL
3 - 0
ASL
18%
25%
57%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ASL
0 - 1
NUO
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ASA
1 - 1
ASL
37%
29%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AS Gubbio 1910
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
COM
0 - 1
ASG
60%
24%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ASG
4 - 0
ASS
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
USA
2 - 0
ASG
68%
20%
11%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ASG
2 - 1
VER
23%
29%
48%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SPE
2 - 0
ASG
55%
25%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |