Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 1-2
Lucchese Libertas vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASL
39%
30%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
NAP
0 - 2
ASL
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
ASL
2 - 2
NAP
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
TOR
1 - 0
ASL
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1998 |
ASL
0 - 0
TRE
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1998 |
NAP
2 - 2
BAR
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
BAR
2 - 1
INT
20%
26%
55%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
ATL
2 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
BAR
0 - 0
VIC
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
PIA
0 - 1
BAR
51%
26%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |