Lucchese Libertas vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
32.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
COS
1 - 1
ASL
60%
20%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ASL
3 - 0
TRI
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASL
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
MES
1 - 0
ASL
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
ASL
1 - 3
LEC
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1963 |
ATL
1 - 0
BAR
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
BAR
2 - 1
USF
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
PRO
0 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
29%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
BAR
3 - 0
SSS
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
TRI
2 - 1
BAR
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |