Lucchese Libertas vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
24.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
PAR
1 - 1
ASL
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
ASL
2 - 1
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
NAP
1 - 0
ASL
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 0
ASS
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 0
LAZ
43%
28%
30%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
BAR
0 - 0
SSS
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
VER
2 - 1
BAR
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
BAR
2 - 0
COS
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
PRO
1 - 0
BAR
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |