Lucchese Libertas vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
USA
4 - 2
ASL
60%
20%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
ASL
1 - 1
TRI
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
INT
6 - 0
ASL
81%
12%
7%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1947 |
ASL
1 - 0
FIO
41%
23%
36%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
SAL
5 - 2
ASL
55%
21%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
BAR
1 - 0
FIO
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
BAR
1 - 1
MOD
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1947 |
BAR
0 - 0
SAL
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
TRI
1 - 1
BAR
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
VIC
3 - 1
BAR
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |