Lucchese Libertas vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
30%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
NAP
2 - 1
ASL
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASL
76%
14%
10%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACL
46%
22%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
FIO
0 - 0
ASL
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
ASL
3 - 3
BOL
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
BAR
0 - 0
ACL
43%
24%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
ATL
0 - 0
BAR
54%
21%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOL
36%
29%
36%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
ROM
3 - 2
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRI
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |