Lucchese Libertas vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1998 |
ASS
3 - 1
ASL
38%
30%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
ASL
2 - 0
USF
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
CHI
3 - 1
ASL
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAL
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
REG
3 - 0
ASL
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1998 |
ANC
1 - 1
REG
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
SAL
3 - 2
ANC
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
ANC
0 - 0
PAD
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
VER
2 - 0
ANC
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
ANC
2 - 2
PRG
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |