Lucchese Libertas vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 0
PIA
32%
31%
38%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
SAL
1 - 1
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
ASL
2 - 2
FIA
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 1
VNZ
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
ATL
1 - 0
ASL
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
ANC
4 - 3
PRG
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
CES
3 - 2
ANC
47%
26%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
ANC
0 - 1
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
PAL
2 - 0
ANC
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
ANC
2 - 1
FIA
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |