Lucchese Libertas vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1994 |
FIO
1 - 1
ASL
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1994 |
ASL
0 - 0
PAL
51%
27%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1994 |
COS
1 - 1
ASL
44%
30%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
ASL
2 - 2
FIA
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
ASC
0 - 0
ASL
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1994 |
ANC
1 - 1
ASS
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1994 |
ASC
1 - 0
ANC
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1994 |
ANC
2 - 0
PES
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
ANC
1 - 1
FIO
37%
29%
35%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
COS
1 - 1
ANC
35%
30%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |