Lucchese Libertas vs AlzanoCene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
PRO
1 - 1
ASL
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
ASL
0 - 0
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
SPA
2 - 0
ASL
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
ASL
0 - 1
PAD
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ACL
1 - 3
ASL
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AlzanoCene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ABN
5 - 0
ALZ
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ALZ
1 - 2
PRO
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
PAD
3 - 1
ALZ
72%
18%
11%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
ALZ
1 - 2
TRE
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
SPE
1 - 1
ALZ
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |