Lucchese Libertas vs Alzano Virescit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
CES
0 - 0
ASL
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
ASL
1 - 0
COM
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
REG
0 - 2
ASL
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 3
ASL
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 2
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 3
MOD
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
BRE
0 - 0
ALV
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
ALV
2 - 2
VAR
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
USA
0 - 1
ALV
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 2
ABN
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |