Lucchese Libertas vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
26.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
FRO
1 - 2
ASL
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 1
CTT
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
PRO
1 - 1
ASL
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ASL
3 - 0
SAS
51%
28%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ACP
2 - 3
ASL
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 2
PAV
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
ACI
53%
24%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
MES
4 - 0
ACI
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 1
CRO
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 0
BEN
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |