Lucchese Libertas vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 1
ASL
34%
29%
38%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
SPE
0 - 0
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ASL
0 - 2
CES
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ASL
1 - 2
ABN
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
ALZ
1 - 1
ASL
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
ABN
1 - 1
REG
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
REG
1 - 1
PRO
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ARZ
4 - 3
REG
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
REG
0 - 0
ALZ
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 1
REG
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |