Lucchese Libertas vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
30.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
TER
1 - 0
ASL
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
ASL
0 - 0
CES
43%
30%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
ASL
0 - 0
PIA
48%
30%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
BAR
3 - 2
ASL
62%
24%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
ASL
1 - 0
VER
37%
30%
33%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
REG
1 - 0
TAR
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
PIA
1 - 1
REG
50%
28%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
REG
1 - 0
MOD
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
BOL
0 - 0
REG
50%
28%
23%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
REG
0 - 0
LEC
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |