Lucchese Libertas vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 0
ASL
58%
23%
18%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ACP
2 - 0
ASL
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ASL
3 - 2
PRO
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 0
ASL
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
BAR
3 - 0
ASL
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
REG
2 - 1
NAP
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
REG
0 - 0
LAZ
48%
24%
29%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
SSS
2 - 2
REG
38%
27%
34%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
REG
3 - 0
MOD
64%
20%
15%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 1
REG
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |