Lucchese Libertas vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
FIA
2 - 1
ASL
41%
28%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 1
ACI
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
FRO
1 - 2
ASL
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 1
CTT
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
PRO
1 - 1
ASL
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PIS
3 - 0
ACP
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ACP
0 - 2
GRO
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 3
ACP
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ACP
1 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
34%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
ACP
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |