Lucchese Libertas vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
PRO
0 - 1
ASL
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 2
BRE
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 2
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
PAR
1 - 1
ASL
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
ASL
2 - 1
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
ACP
1 - 1
COS
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
FCC
0 - 0
ACP
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
VER
1 - 0
ACP
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
ACP
1 - 1
REG
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
USA
1 - 1
ACP
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |