Lucchese Libertas vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
20.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
ASL
1 - 0
RAV
65%
23%
13%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
CES
2 - 2
ASL
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
ASL
0 - 0
VIC
49%
27%
25%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
MOD
1 - 0
ASL
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
BRE
2 - 1
ASL
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
ASS
1 - 1
PES
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
BRE
5 - 0
ASS
71%
20%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
ASS
1 - 3
MOD
42%
30%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
VIC
1 - 0
ASS
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
ASS
2 - 0
FIA
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |