Lucchese Libertas vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 0
LAZ
43%
28%
30%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
USA
2 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
GEN
4 - 2
ASL
70%
19%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
MOD
4 - 0
ASL
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
ASL
2 - 0
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
ASS
1 - 1
ACP
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 1
ASS
50%
28%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
ASS
0 - 0
PAR
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
FCC
2 - 1
ASS
58%
25%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
ASS
1 - 0
REG
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |