Lucchese Libertas vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
UNI
3 - 1
ASL
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 2
TRE
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 2
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
CAT
0 - 0
ASL
60%
22%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1953 |
SIR
1 - 0
ASL
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
CAG
2 - 0
ACM
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ACM
1 - 1
ASS
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
TRE
2 - 1
ACM
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
SAL
3 - 0
ACM
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
ACM
1 - 0
UNI
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |