Lucchese Libertas vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASL
88%
8%
4%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
ASL
2 - 0
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
ASL
5 - 0
COM
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASL
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
ATL
0 - 5
ASL
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
UNI
0 - 3
JUV
32%
23%
45%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
BOL
1 - 0
UNI
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1951 |
FAN
5 - 2
UNI
41%
23%
36%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
UNI
6 - 4
VER
71%
16%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
CAT
3 - 0
UNI
38%
24%
38%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |