Lucchese Libertas vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
23.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ASL
1 - 2
ABN
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
ALZ
1 - 1
ASL
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAM
28%
26%
47%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
ASL
2 - 1
PRO
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
SIE
1 - 1
ASL
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
CES
4 - 1
CTT
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
ABN
2 - 2
CES
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2002 |
PAD
2 - 3
CES
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ASL
4 - 1
CES
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
CES
1 - 1
ABN
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |