Lucchese Libertas vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1997 |
BAR
0 - 0
ASL
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
ASL
2 - 1
CAS
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
PAL
1 - 1
ASL
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
LEC
4 - 1
ASL
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
ASL
1 - 0
PES
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1997 |
CES
2 - 2
USF
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
CES
4 - 0
USC
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
PAD
1 - 0
CES
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
CES
2 - 2
COS
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
PAL
0 - 1
CES
49%
28%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |