Lucchese Libertas vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASL
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
TUT
2 - 0
ASL
41%
27%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ASL
0 - 1
USA
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
OLB
2 - 2
ASL
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIA
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARZ
2 - 1
TUT
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
USA
1 - 0
ARZ
53%
27%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ARZ
2 - 1
SIE
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 3
ARZ
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARZ
2 - 2
COM
30%
28%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |