Lucchese Libertas vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
ASL
3 - 2
PAD
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ASL
1 - 2
TRI
50%
28%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
REG
3 - 1
ASL
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
ABN
1 - 3
ASL
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
ARZ
0 - 1
TRE
31%
28%
42%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 0
ARZ
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ARZ
1 - 4
ACL
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
CES
3 - 0
ARZ
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
ARZ
0 - 1
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |