Luchador vs CF Sant Rafel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luchador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SJO
0 - 3
LUC
8%
13%
79%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 0
SAN
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 4
INT
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 2
FOR
50%
22%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 3
LUC
34%
21%
45%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CF Sant Rafel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SRF
0 - 1
INT
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
SRF
33%
25%
42%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SRF
1 - 2
SPA
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
JOS
4 - 2
SRF
35%
25%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SRF
1 - 0
PDE
37%
22%
42%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |