Luchador vs B. San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luchador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
LUC
3 - 2
SAN
59%
19%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
LUC
39%
21%
40%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LUC
6 - 0
AJE
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 2
LUC
24%
19%
57%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 1
JOR
16%
18%
65%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
B. San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PUI
3 - 1
BSA
78%
13%
9%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BSA
2 - 4
PUI
28%
21%
51%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
BSA
1 - 6
PIN
4%
11%
85%
|
5 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
INT
2 - 0
BSA
93%
5%
2%
|
6 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
BSA
2 - 4
PDE
23%
20%
57%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |