Luchador vs Atlético Jesús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luchador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LUC
0 - 1
PUI
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PUI
1 - 5
LUC
26%
20%
54%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
PIN
6 - 0
LUC
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
LUC
0 - 4
PIN
8%
14%
78%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 1
PES
74%
15%
12%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Jesús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PUI
2 - 3
AJE
58%
19%
23%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
AJE
2 - 1
PUI
29%
22%
49%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AJE
1 - 2
PIN
4%
11%
85%
|
5 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PIN
7 - 1
AJE
93%
6%
2%
|
5 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
AJE
1 - 1
PES
26%
21%
53%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |