Lucero-Linces vs UD Móstoles Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
34.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+142%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucero-Linces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
LUL
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LUL
2 - 2
HUM
32%
23%
46%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LUL
1 - 1
EFC
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MDE
3 - 1
LUL
77%
15%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LUL
2 - 3
AVA
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UD Móstoles Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
DPF
1 - 2
MDE
33%
22%
45%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 1
DPF
26%
20%
55%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DPF
2 - 0
GRI
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAV
4 - 0
DPF
64%
17%
19%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
DPF
4 - 0
LUG
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |