Lucena vs Sp. Villanueva Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
AGD
0 - 0
LUC
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
RJA
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
POL
0 - 2
LUC
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LUC
3 - 3
PUE
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SRQ
1 - 0
LUC
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sp. Villanueva Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 3
CPC
24%
27%
49%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 1
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 0
BET
14%
23%
64%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CFB
1 - 1
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AGD
3 - 1
SPO
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | -1 |