Lucena vs San Roque de Lepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SEV
1 - 1
LUC
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LUC
3 - 1
CPC
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
LUC
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 0
LOR
36%
28%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
UCA
2 - 1
LUC
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
San Roque de Lepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SRQ
2 - 1
BAL
20%
26%
54%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PAL
4 - 0
SRQ
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SRQ
3 - 2
ALM
24%
26%
50%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 1
SRQ
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
SRQ
0 - 3
CAD
15%
23%
62%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |