Lucena vs San Roque de Lepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SEV
1 - 0
LUC
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 0
EST
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 0
LUC
54%
28%
19%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 2
CFB
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 1
LUC
23%
26%
51%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
San Roque de Lepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SRQ
1 - 0
ECI
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SRQ
2 - 1
MEL
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SEV
1 - 1
SRQ
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SRQ
3 - 0
EST
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
SRQ
54%
27%
19%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |