Lucena vs Puertollano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CDL
3 - 0
LUC
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
LUC
1 - 1
AGD
32%
31%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
BET
0 - 0
LUC
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
LUC
2 - 0
POR
26%
27%
46%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
LUC
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
PUE
1 - 0
TAL
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
RJA
0 - 0
PUE
40%
29%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
PUE
1 - 0
ALG
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 0
PUE
30%
29%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
PUE
2 - 1
MER
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |