Lucena vs Écija Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CDG
0 - 0
LUC
20%
24%
56%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 5
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ROD
2 - 0
LUC
43%
27%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 0
RJA
27%
31%
42%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BET
6 - 0
LUC
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Écija Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ECI
0 - 1
ARC
69%
19%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 1
ECI
25%
26%
49%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ECI
2 - 3
SAN
21%
25%
54%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LAP
2 - 2
ECI
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LEB
0 - 2
ECI
45%
26%
30%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +2 |