Lucena vs Écija Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 1
BET
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
LUC
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LUC
4 - 0
YEC
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ALM
3 - 0
LUC
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 0
MUR
17%
25%
58%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Écija Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ECI
1 - 0
POL
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BET
2 - 1
ECI
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ECI
1 - 2
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
YEC
1 - 2
ECI
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ECI
0 - 2
ALM
61%
23%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |