Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-2
Lucena vs Ciudad de Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
LUC
2 - 1
ANT
45%
25%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
SEV
5 - 2
LUC
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
LUC
5 - 1
VVA
61%
23%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 1
LUC
47%
26%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
LUC
3 - 2
LAP
66%
22%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
CIU
1 - 0
DHE
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
CIU
5 - 0
PIN
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 15 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
ORI
0 - 0
CIU
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
CIU
1 - 0
HOR
76%
16%
9%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
UCA
0 - 1
CIU
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |