Lucena vs Cfba Caravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 0
LUC
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 2
MEL
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 1
ECI
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
SRQ
1 - 0
LUC
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
AGD
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cfba Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CFB
1 - 1
ECI
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
CFB
5 - 1
MLL
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SRQ
1 - 0
CFB
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
MLL
2 - 1
CFB
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CFB
1 - 1
AGD
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |