Lucena vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
49.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
AGU
2 - 0
LUC
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 0
CAR
27%
30%
43%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 2
LUC
58%
25%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 2
ECI
22%
27%
51%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 1
PUE
30%
30%
40%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
MER
2 - 2
TAL
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
RJA
0 - 2
MER
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
MER
0 - 0
ALG
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 1
MER
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2008 |
MER
2 - 1
BAZ
43%
28%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |