Lucena vs Los Barrios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
LUC
37%
26%
38%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LUC
3 - 3
SRO
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 3
CEU
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CRD
3 - 0
LUC
54%
25%
22%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 0
ASJ
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Los Barrios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
ARC
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
BAR
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 3
UTR
41%
25%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SEV
2 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAS
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |