Lucena vs Almería B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RJA
3 - 1
LUC
55%
27%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
MEL
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 0
LUC
30%
28%
41%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
5 - 0
ARR
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
4 - 1
SDL
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 1
ECI
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 2
ALM
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
CPC
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
UCA
1 - 2
ALM
28%
26%
47%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ALM
4 - 1
BET
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |