Lucena vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
19.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 2
LUC
48%
27%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
LUC
3 - 0
MER
23%
28%
49%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
AGU
2 - 0
LUC
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 0
CAR
27%
30%
43%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 2
LUC
58%
25%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ALG
2 - 2
TAL
31%
27%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALG
64%
23%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
BAZ
2 - 0
ALG
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ALG
2 - 2
ALC
35%
28%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
MER
0 - 0
ALG
63%
23%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |