Lucena vs Águilas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
52.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 1
LUC
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
LUC
2 - 0
MEL
24%
29%
47%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ECI
1 - 1
LUC
69%
20%
11%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 2
LUC
28%
29%
44%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
LUC
4 - 2
ARC
48%
27%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Águilas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
AGU
3 - 1
TAL
42%
27%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 2
AGU
47%
28%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
AGU
2 - 1
ALG
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 3
AGU
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
AGU
3 - 0
MER
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |