Lucena vs San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
LUC
28%
26%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 5
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 6
CDG
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 2
SAN
27%
26%
48%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
UTR
3 - 1
LUC
11%
20%
69%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ASJ
2 - 0
ARC
44%
26%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
ASJ
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ASJ
3 - 1
UTR
55%
24%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
ECI
3 - 1
ASJ
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SEV
2 - 0
ASJ
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |