Lucena vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
POL
1 - 4
LUC
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
BET
2 - 2
LUC
47%
28%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 0
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
YEC
1 - 1
LUC
24%
26%
49%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 0
ALM
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
AGD
2 - 2
ECI
58%
23%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 1
SRQ
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 2
AGD
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
POL
2 - 0
AGD
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
AGD
2 - 0
BET
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |