Lucena vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
31%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
36.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
BET
0 - 0
LUC
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
LUC
2 - 0
POR
26%
27%
46%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
LUC
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
LUC
1 - 1
MAZ
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 2
LUC
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
AGD
1 - 0
TAL
45%
27%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
RJA
0 - 0
AGD
39%
30%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
AGD
1 - 1
ALG
61%
24%
14%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
AGD
30%
30%
40%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
AGD
4 - 3
MER
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |