Lucena vs Atlético Cajazeirense analysis


16	ELO	36
1.3%	Tilt	0%
29421º	General ELO ranking	7701º
768º	Country ELO ranking	334º
ELO win probability

14.5%

Lucena

19.5%

Draw

66.1%

Atlético Cajazeirense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

14.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%

19.5%

Draw

0-0

4.8%

1-1

9.2%

2-2

4.4%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

19.5%

66.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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