Gallia Lucciana vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
7º
7º
30
2º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 71% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 2
LUC
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 1
CAN
35%
27%
38%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
3 - 0
MAR
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RSV
3 - 2
LUC
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 0
AJA
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
IST
1 - 1
EUA
65%
18%
16%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
GAZ
4 - 1
IST
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
IST
0 - 0
BAL
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
IST
2 - 0
CAS
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +4 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 1
IST
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |