Gallia Lucciana vs Cassis-Carnoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
7º
7º
25
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LUC
3 - 0
GAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
LUC
26%
22%
53%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 1
IST
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 2
LUC
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 1
CAN
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
EUA
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
AJA
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GAZ
0 - 0
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAS
16%
21%
64%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |